Sport Picks

Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026

Lech-UAM Poznan W

2 - 1

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Przybyl J.

46'

Borowa B.

89'

Deren D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Lech-UAM Poznan W and Rekord Bielsko-Biala W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech-UAM Poznan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Lech-UAM Poznan W

40%

Draws

29%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Lech-UAM Poznan W carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 20%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lech-UAM Poznan W	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Ekstraliga Women

Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Przybyl J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Borowa B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Compare

Top Goalscorer Deren D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech-UAM Poznan W 32 / 100

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lech-UAM Poznan W Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech-UAM Poznan W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Rekord Bielsko-Biala W conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Lech-UAM Poznan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech-UAM Poznan W VS Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Czarni Sosnowiec W	22	18	2	2	68:18	56
2	Pogon Szczecin W	22	16	3	3	60:18	51
3	GKS Katowice W	22	15	3	4	51:26	48
4	Leczna W	22	15	2	5	49:20	47
5	UKS SMS Lodz W	22	8	5	9	35:35	29
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	22	8	4	10	29:34	28
7	Slask Wroclaw W	22	8	2	12	39:33	26
8	Lech-UAM Poznan W	22	7	5	10	29:46	26
9	UJ Krakow W	22	6	6	10	26:37	24
10	AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W	22	7	2	13	24:45	23
11	Stomilanki Olsztyn W	22	3	2	17	23:70	11
12	Pogon Tczew W	22	1	4	17	15:66	7