Sport Picks

Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk

Lechia Gdansk

1 - 3

Gornik Zabrze

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Khlan M.

29'

Zhelizko I.

31'

Janicki R.

Assist: Kmet M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Lechia Gdansk

Draws

90%

Gornik Zabrze

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gornik Zabrze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Lechia Gdansk haven't matched Gornik Zabrze's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Gornik Zabrze taking it.
Gornik Zabrze arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Gornik Zabrze, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%

Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lechia Gdansk	Gornik Zabrze
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	15
Draws	6	6
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	0.86	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.57	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.86	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.57	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze

5:2

Dec 2, 2025 Polish Cup

Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze

1:3

Jul 20, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk

2:1

Mar 9, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze

1:2

Sep 1, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurminowski D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.66

Avg xA / game 0.43

Gornik Zabrze Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow O.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Janicki R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lechia Gdansk 10 / 100

Gornik Zabrze 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lechia Gdansk Gornik Zabrze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lechia Gdansk scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Gornik Zabrze has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Lechia Gdansk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lechia Gdansk VS Gornik Zabrze

0.86 Goals Scored 1.88

2.57 Goals Conceded 0.63

86% Over 1.5 63%

86% Over 2.5 50%

57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lechia Gdansk

(Home)

25 Jul

Lechia Gdansk

0 : 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

18 Jul

Lechia Gdansk

2 : 2

Randers FC

04 Jul

Lechia Gdansk

1 : 3

Ol. Grudziadz

27 Jun

Lechia Gdansk

0 : 5

Petrolul

23 May

Termalica Bruk-Bet

3 : 2

Lechia Gdansk

Page 1 of 6

Gornik Zabrze

(Away)

25 Jul

Gornik Zabrze

2 : 1

Slask Wroclaw

21 Jul

Fenerbahce

1 : 0

Gornik Zabrze

16 Jul

Lech Poznan

3 : 1

Gornik Zabrze

10 Jul

Nordsjaelland

0 : 2

Gornik Zabrze

04 Jul

Tirol

0 : 0

Gornik Zabrze

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Zawisza-

TBD-

Tychy-

GKS Wikielec-

TBD-

Podbeskidzie2

R. Rzeszow1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg-

TBD-

Hutnik Krakow3

Zaglebie Sosnowiec0

Bytom Odrzanski-

TBD-

Wisla-

Beskid Andrychow-

TBD-

Chojniczanka2

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1

Legnica II-

TBD-

Swit Szczecin2

LKS Lodz II1

Malapanew Ozimek-

TBD-

Pruszkow-

S. Rzeszow-

TBD-

Korona Kielce-

LKS Lomza-

TBD-

Odra Opole-

Korona Kielce II-

TBD-

Piast Gliwice-

Gryf Slupsk-

TBD-

Polonia Warszawa-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec-

TBD-

Puszcza-

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3

Wisla Pulawy0

TBD-

Lechia Gdansk-

Arka Gdynia-

TBD-

Motor Lublin-

Legia II-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Avia Swidnik-

TBD-

Ruch Chorzow-

Swinoujscie-

TBD-

KKS Kalisz0

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II-

TBD-

Stal Stalowa Wola3

Skra Czestochowa1

Warta Poznan1

Olimpia Elblag0

Polonia Bytom7

Zaglebie II1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-

TBD-

KS Wieczysta Krakow0

Ol. Grudziadz1

Tomaszow Mazowiecki-

TBD-

Slask Wroclaw-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna-

TBD-

Cracovia-

LKS Lodz-

TBD-

Chrobry Glogow-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Wisla Plock-

Legnica-

TBD-

Pogon Siedlce-

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg-

TBD-

Pogon Szczecin-

Termalica Bruk-Bet-

TBD-

Widzew Lodz-

Radomiak Radom-

TBD-

Zaglebie-

1/32-finals

Zawisza2

Tychy0

GKS Wikielec2

Podbeskidzie1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg0

Hutnik Krakow1

Bytom Odrzanski0

Wisla1

Beskid Andrychow0

Chojniczanka3

Legnica II1

Swit Szczecin3

Malapanew Ozimek1

Pruszkow2

S. Rzeszow0

Korona Kielce1

LKS Lomza0

Odra Opole2

Korona Kielce II0

Piast Gliwice1

Gryf Slupsk1

Polonia Warszawa0

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec1

Puszcza2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0

Lechia Gdansk1

Arka Gdynia1

Motor Lublin0

Legia II0

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik3

Ruch Chorzow1

Swinoujscie3

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II3

Stal Stalowa Wola1

Warta Poznan0

Polonia Bytom1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1

Ol. Grudziadz3

Tomaszow Mazowiecki1

Slask Wroclaw2

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna1

Cracovia5

LKS Lodz5

Chrobry Glogow3

GKS Katowice4

Wisla Plock2

Legnica2

Pogon Siedlce0

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg0

Pogon Szczecin3

Termalica Bruk-Bet2

Widzew Lodz3

Radomiak Radom0

Zaglebie2

1/16-finals

Zawisza3

GKS Wikielec0

Hutnik Krakow0

Wisla1

Chojniczanka3

Swit Szczecin1

Pruszkow0

Korona Kielce3

Odra Opole0

Piast Gliwice2

Gryf Slupsk1

Lech Poznan2

Puszcza1

Lechia Gdansk3

Arka Gdynia1

Gornik Zabrze2

Avia Swidnik3

Swinoujscie0

Goczalkowice Zdroj II0

Polonia Bytom7

Ol. Grudziadz0

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa3

Cracovia0

LKS Lodz1

GKS Katowice2

Legnica2

Jagiellonia3

Legia1

Pogon Szczecin2

Widzew Lodz1

Zaglebie0

1/8-finals

Zawisza4

Wisla1

Chojniczanka2

Korona Kielce1

Piast Gliwice0

Lech Poznan2

Lechia Gdansk1

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik4

Polonia Bytom2

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice3

Jagiellonia1

Pogon Szczecin0

Widzew Lodz1

Quarter-finals

Zawisza2

Chojniczanka1

Lech Poznan0

Gornik Zabrze1

Avia Swidnik1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice2

Widzew Lodz1

Semi-finals

Zawisza0

Gornik Zabrze1

Rakow Czestochowa5

GKS Katowice4

Final

Gornik Zabrze2

Rakow Czestochowa0

Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze

Poland

Lechia Gdansk

Gornik Zabrze

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Gornik Zabrze Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lechia Gdansk

Gornik Zabrze

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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