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Lechia Gdansk vs Legnica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Noiszewski K.
32' Event
Neugebauer T.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Dodaj K.
Assist: Shakh A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Lechia Gdansk and Legnica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lechia Gdansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Lechia Gdansk
15%
Draws
7%
Legnica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legnica come out ahead of Lechia Gdansk on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lechia Gdansk a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 18%
Legnica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lechia Gdansk Legnica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Legnica
2:1
May 26, 2024 Division 1
Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk
4:1
Dec 3, 2023 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Legnica
2:0
Mar 10, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Legnica
4:0
Aug 27, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dodaj K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Legnica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansfeld M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lechia Gdansk 85 / 100
Legnica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lechia Gdansk Legnica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lechia Gdansk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Legnica let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Lechia Gdansk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lechia Gdansk VS Legnica
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lechia Gdansk

(Home)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
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Legnica

(Away)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
05 Sept
Legnica
1 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
02 Sept
Legnica
0 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)