Sport Picks
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec
Poland
Division 1 Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk 
Match Events
12'
12'
Shakh A.
Assist: Wojtowicz T.
15'
15'
Wyparlo M.
23'
23'
Shakh A.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Lechia Gdansk and Stal Mielec finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lechia Gdansk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lechia Gdansk come out ahead of Stal Mielec on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Lechia Gdansk's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 68%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Stal Mielec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec
7:1
Apr 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec
3:2
Oct 5, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1
May 14, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk
0:0
Oct 30, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lechia Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Shakh A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Kopasek S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Stal Mielec Compare
Top Goalscorer Oure S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lechia Gdansk 95 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lechia Gdansk Stal Mielec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stal Mielec has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Lechia Gdansk scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Lechia Gdansk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lechia Gdansk VS Stal Mielec
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lechia Gdansk
(Home) 03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3 Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1 Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2 Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
31 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Warta Poznan
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 4
Stal Mielec
(Away) 19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3 Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3 Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
23 Aug
LKS Lodz
4 : 0 Stal Mielec
26 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
1 : 2 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
