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Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lechia Gdansk host Unia Skierniewice in the Division 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Lechia Gdansk have averaged 1.62 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Unia Skierniewice's 1.46 scored and 1.54 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.31 - 1.13) back Lechia Gdansk to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lechia Gdansk
20%
Draws
20%
Unia Skierniewice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lechia Gdansk come out ahead of Unia Skierniewice on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lechia Gdansk a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 20%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lechia Gdansk Unia Skierniewice
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lechia Gdansk 85 / 100
Unia Skierniewice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lechia Gdansk Unia Skierniewice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lechia Gdansk has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lechia Gdansk scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Unia Skierniewice let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Unia Skierniewice registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lechia Gdansk VS Unia Skierniewice
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lechia Gdansk

(Home)
18 Oct
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Oct
S. Rzeszow
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
Page 1 of 6

Unia Skierniewice

(Away)
16 Oct
Warta Poznan
1 : 0
Unia Skierniewice
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
4 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
5 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
6 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
8 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 11 3 0 8 11:16 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)