Sport Picks
Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk 
Match Events
14'
14'
Stanek M.
Assist: Lysiak K.
16'
16'
Wolczek A.
22'
22'
Madej W.
AI Match Summary
Warta Poznan in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Poznan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Warta Poznan lately — more wins on the board than Lechia Gdansk.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Lechia Gdansk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 16%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Warta Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan
0:3
Mar 19, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk
2:0
Sep 3, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan
2:0
Oct 30, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lechia Gdansk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Warta Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Stanek M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Najemski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lechia Gdansk 57 / 100
Warta Poznan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lechia Gdansk Warta Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lechia Gdansk scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Warta Poznan conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Lechia Gdansk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lechia Gdansk VS Warta Poznan
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lechia Gdansk
(Home) 03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3 Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1 Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2 Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
31 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Warta Poznan
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
Warta Poznan
(Away) 11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
21 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 1 Warta Poznan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
