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Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ichikawa S.
59'
Sub
Yoong K. In: Kwok T. B.
Out: Yoong K.
60'
Sub
Luis Phelipe In: Yu Joy-yin
Out: Luis Phelipe

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Lee Man Warriors and Eastern District finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lee Man Warriors
15%
Draws
27%
Eastern District
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Lee Man Warriors have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 15%
Eastern District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Eastern District
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.57 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern District
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
Eastern District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern District
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Ichikawa S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Eastern District Compare

Top Goalscorer Luizinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
Eastern District 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Eastern District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lee Man Warriors scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Lee Man Warriors remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Eastern District's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Eastern District lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Eastern District
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
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Eastern District

(Away)
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
30 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Eastern District
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 North District 4 3 1 0 12:0 10
3 Kitchee 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
4 Tai Po 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Southern District 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Eastern AA 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
7 Shatin 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
8 Kowloon City 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
9 Eastern District 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
10 Hong Kong FC 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
11 Hong Kong Rangers 4 0 0 4 5:14 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)