Sport Picks
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Hong Kong
Premier League 
Match Events
6'
6'
Kraev B.
16'
16'
Revilla A.
37'
37'
Riera R.
AI Match Summary
Kitchee in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kitchee.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kitchee lately — more wins on the board than Lee Man Warriors.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 14%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lee Man Warriors | Kitchee |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 35 |
| Wins | 22 | 23 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.48 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee
1:5
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:4
Apr 7, 2026 League Cup
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lee Man Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Kraev B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Kitchee Compare
Top Goalscorer Camargo E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Revilla A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lee Man Warriors 35 / 100
Kitchee 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lee Man Warriors Kitchee
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kitchee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lee Man Warriors scored in 88% of their last 33 games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Kitchee has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.
Solid form: Lee Man Warriors remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lee Man Warriors VS Kitchee
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lee Man Warriors
(Home) 07 Nov
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 0 Southern District
25 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
19 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 5 Kitchee
11 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 7
07 Nov
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 0 Southern District
19 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 5 Kitchee
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1 Eastern District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Kowloon City
Page 1 of 3
Kitchee
(Away) 05 Nov
Kitchee
2 : 1 Phnom Penh Crown
29 Oct
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 0 Kitchee
24 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2 Kitchee
19 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 5 Kitchee
15 Oct
Kuching City FC
1 : 1 Kitchee
Page 1 of 7
29 Oct
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 0 Kitchee
24 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2 Kitchee
19 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 5 Kitchee
15 Oct
Kuching City FC
1 : 1 Kitchee
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1 Kitchee
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North District | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:2 | 19 |
| 2 | Lee Man Warriors | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Kitchee | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:5 | 16 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Southern District | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 6 | Eastern District | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 7 | Hong Kong FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 8 | Kowloon City | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 9 | Hong Kong Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 5 |
| 10 | Shatin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 11 | Eastern AA | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
