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Lee Man Warriors vs Shatin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tursunov D.
20' Event
Villalobos E.
26'
Sub
Ansah M. In: Lai H.
Out: Ansah M.

AI Match Summary

Lee Man Warriors in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lee Man Warriors
15%
Draws
0%
Shatin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shatin haven't matched Lee Man Warriors's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 20%
Shatin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Shatin
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 19 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.55 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Senior Shield
Shatin vs Lee Man Warriors
0:1
Aug 28, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Shatin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursunov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villalobos E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.2

Shatin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 85 / 100
Shatin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Shatin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lee Man Warriors scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Shatin has conceded goals in 92% of their last 25 outings.

Recent resilience: Lee Man Warriors stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Shatin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Shatin
2.13 Goals Scored 1.17
1 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
Page 1 of 6

Shatin

(Away)
01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3
Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3
Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 North District 4 3 1 0 12:0 10
3 Kitchee 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
4 Tai Po 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Southern District 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Eastern District 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
7 Eastern AA 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
8 Shatin 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
9 Hong Kong Rangers 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
10 Kowloon City 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
11 Hong Kong FC 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
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