Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Tursunov D.
31'
Sub
Pereira S. In: Lai K.
Out: Pereira S.
41'
Chan Y. T.

AI Match Summary

Lee Man Warriors in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lee Man Warriors
33%
Draws
27%
Southern District
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors have won more games recently than Southern District.
  • Model gives Lee Man Warriors a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 18%
Southern District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Southern District
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3
May 1, 2025 Sapling Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District
0:4
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursunov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Southern District Compare

Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 40 / 100
Southern District 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Southern District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Southern District let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lee Man Warriors stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Southern District
1.63 Goals Scored 1.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 7

Southern District

(Away)
09 May
Southern District
2 : 2
Eastern District
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4
Southern District
26 Apr
Southern District
3 : 1
Kowloon City
19 Apr
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 1
Southern District
12 Apr
Kowloon City
2 : 1
Southern District
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee18162047:1550
2Lee Man Warriors18106247:1936
3North District1887336:2731
4Tai Po1894536:2631
5Eastern AA1874729:2825
6Kowloon City1863922:3321
7Eastern District1854915:1519
8Southern District18531018:2818
9Hong Kong Rangers18521120:3817
10Hong Kong FC18111612:534
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation Group)