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Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lee Man Warriors host Southern District in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Southern District have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Lee Man Warriors have conceded 0.97 and scored 2.52. Past meetings favor Lee Man Warriors slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.69, favoring Lee Man Warriors. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lee Man Warriors
15%
Draws
32%
Southern District
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lee Man Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Southern District.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 13%
Southern District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Southern District
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.52 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3
May 1, 2025 Sapling Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District
0:4
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Southern District
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
Southern District 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Southern District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Southern District let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Lee Man Warriors went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Southern District
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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Southern District

(Away)
01 Oct
North District
2 : 1
Southern District
20 Sept
Southern District
2 : 1
Eastern District
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
29 Aug
Southern District
2 : 1
Kowloon City
22 Aug
Southern District
3 : 2
Hong Kong FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North District 5 4 1 0 15:1 13
2 Lee Man Warriors 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
3 Kitchee 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
4 Tai Po 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Southern District 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Eastern District 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
7 Eastern AA 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
8 Shatin 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
9 Hong Kong Rangers 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
10 Kowloon City 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
11 Hong Kong FC 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)