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Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Camargo E.
32' Event
Camargo E.
36' Event
Sartori I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Lee Man Warriors and Tai Po finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tai Po.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lee Man Warriors
28%
Draws
50%
Tai Po
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tai Po come out ahead of Lee Man Warriors on wins alone.
  • Tai Po are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 13%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Tai Po
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 18 22
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
2:3
Mar 11, 2026 League Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Tai Po vs Lee Man Warriors
3:5
Sep 27, 2025 Senior Shield
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Camargo E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tai Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Chung Wai-Keung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 22 / 100
Tai Po 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Tai Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lee Man Warriors scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tai Po conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Lee Man Warriors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Tai Po
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
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Tai Po

(Away)
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
23 May
Tai Po
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0
Kitchee
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee22164254:2852
2Tai Po22134549:3243
3Lee Man Warriors22126457:2642
4Eastern AA2295839:3732
5North District2288643:3932
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