Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leeds U18 vs Burnley U18

England England

Premier League U18
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Borgesson B.
Assist: Okonkwo D.
37' Event
Taylor W.
(Penalty)
44' Event
White L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 game between Leeds U18 and Burnley U18 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnley U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Leeds U18
20%
Draws
46%
Burnley U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burnley U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Leeds U18 haven't matched Burnley U18's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Burnley U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U18 Burnley U18
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.73 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.7 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Burnley U18
1:3
May 9, 2026 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Leeds U18
7:4
Dec 16, 2025 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Burnley U18
2:5
Apr 2, 2022 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Burnley U18
6:1
Sep 11, 2021 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Leeds U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer White L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Burnley U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgesson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morison D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U18 10 / 100
Burnley U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U18 Burnley U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U18 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Burnley U18 has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Leeds U18 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U18 VS Burnley U18
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1
Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1
Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 6 4 0 2 25:10 12
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 6 1 1 4 9:22 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)