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Leeds U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
3 - 1
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jones J.
Penalty Missed
10' Event
Tohill E.
Assist: Linacre B.
13' Event
Bhaskaran J.
Assist: Whitehead L.

AI Match Summary

Leeds U18 host Middlesbrough U18 in the Premier League U18. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Leeds U18 at 1.57 goals for, 2.68 against; Middlesbrough U18 at 1.79 for, 1.72 against. Head-to-head, Leeds U18 have won 2 to Middlesbrough U18's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 2.25, favoring Middlesbrough U18. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leeds U18
15%
Draws
46%
Middlesbrough U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Middlesbrough U18 come out ahead of Leeds U18 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U18 Middlesbrough U18
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Leeds U18
1:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Leeds U18
6:3
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Leeds U18
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer White L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bhaskaran J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tohill E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U18 30 / 100
Middlesbrough U18 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U18 Middlesbrough U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U18 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Middlesbrough U18 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Leeds U18 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U18 VS Middlesbrough U18
1.88 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1
Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1
Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Middlesbrough U18
5 : 0
Blackburn U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 7 5 0 2 28:10 15
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 7 1 1 5 9:25 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)