Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Heywood K.
27'
27'
Chadwick-Chaplin R.
32'
32'
Crew C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-3, with Leeds U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Millwall U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leeds U18 come out ahead of Millwall U18 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Millwall U18's way, sitting at 90%.
- Leeds U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leeds U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 12%
Millwall U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leeds U18 | Millwall U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 9 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.71 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2024 FA Youth Cup
Leeds U18 vs Millwall U18
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leeds U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Chadwick-Chaplin R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Crew C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Millwall U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Heywood K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stephenson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leeds U18 10 / 100
Millwall U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leeds U18 Millwall U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Millwall U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leeds U18 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Millwall U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.
Games between these two average 7.00 goals.
Leeds U18 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leeds U18 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leeds U18
(Home) 12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1 Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3 Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1 Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3 Burnley U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
02 May
Leeds U18
1 : 2 Nottingham U18
15 Apr
Leeds U18
3 : 2 Middlesbrough U18
Page 1 of 4
Millwall U18
(Away) 16 Jan
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Millwall U18
04 Apr
Leeds U18
4 : 3 Millwall U18
21 Feb
Millwall U18
2 : 1 Chelsea U18
02 Feb
Coventry U18
0 : 3 Millwall U18
24 Jan
Grimsby U18
1 : 4 Millwall U18
Page 1 of 2
16 Jan
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Millwall U18
04 Apr
Leeds U18
4 : 3 Millwall U18
02 Feb
Coventry U18
0 : 3 Millwall U18
24 Jan
Grimsby U18
1 : 4 Millwall U18
27 Feb
Chelsea U18
1 : 0 Millwall U18
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
West Ham U18 0
Manchester City U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 0
Reading U18 4
Burton U18 1
Tottenham U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 5
Bristol City U18 1
Charlton U18 0
QPR U18 0
Burnley U18 2
Gillingham U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Swindon U18 2
Manchester United U18 0
Sheffield Utd U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 0
Brighton U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Liverpool U18 7
Arsenal U18 1
Swansea U18 0
Fulham U18 5
Coventry U18 4
Barnsley U18 2
Grimsby U18 1
Millwall U18 4
Hull U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 5
Everton U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
1/8-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Reading U18 1
Tottenham U18 6
Bournemouth U18 2
Bristol City U18 3
Burnley U18 0
Sunderland U18 1
Swindon U18 2
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Leeds U18 2
Liverpool U18 3
Fulham U18 0
Coventry U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Crystal Palace U18 1
Chelsea U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Tottenham U18 1
Bristol City U18 1
Swindon U18 0
Leeds U18 3
Liverpool U18 1
Millwall U18 2
Chelsea U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 1
Bristol City U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Millwall U18 3
Final
Manchester City U18 4
Leeds U18 0
