Sport Picks
Leeds U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
England
Premier League 2 LNER Community Stadium, York 
Match Events
17'
17'
McDonald J.
Assist: Vincent H.
45'
45'
Alabi S.
46'
46'
Sub
Alabi S. In: Harper F.
Out: Alabi S.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 game between Leeds U21 and Newcastle Utd U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leeds U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Newcastle Utd U21 have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Leeds U21 are scoring more at 1.43.
- Leeds U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leeds U21 | Newcastle Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:3
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Leeds U21
0:2
Feb 13, 2023 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Leeds U21
2:2
Nov 7, 2022 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leeds U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer McDonald J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lane F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Newcastle Utd U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leeds U21 83 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leeds U21 Newcastle Utd U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leeds U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd U21 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Leeds U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Leeds U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leeds U21 VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Leeds U21
(Home) 22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4 Leeds U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4 Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3 Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3 West Brom U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2 Manchester United U21
16 Mar
Leeds U21
1 : 0 Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd U21
(Away) 22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4 Fulham U21
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 21 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | 2 |
| 28 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 (Play Offs)
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