Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leeds U23 vs Derby U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 LNER Community Stadium, York
Leeds U23 Logo

Leeds U23

2 - 0
FT
Derby U23 Logo

Derby U23

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
McKinstry S. In: Gray A.
Out: McKinstry S.
29' Event
Miller A.
Assist: Allen C.
34'
Littlewood J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Leeds U23 and Derby U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leeds U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Leeds U23
15%
Draws
0%
Derby U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Leeds U23 haven't matched Derby U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leeds U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U23 Derby U23
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.58 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2022 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Derby U23
2:0
Aug 27, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Leeds U23
2:3
Feb 7, 2020 Premier League Cup
Leeds U23 vs Derby U23
1:2
Nov 13, 2019 Premier League Cup
Derby U23 vs Leeds U23
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Derby U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U23 84 / 100
Derby U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U23 Derby U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Derby U23 let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Derby U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U23 VS Derby U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 7

Derby U23

(Away)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)