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Leeds U23 vs Manchester United U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Elland Road, Leeds
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
McKinstry S.
21'
Hardley B.
27'
Bate L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Leeds U23 and Manchester United U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leeds U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leeds U23
20%
Draws
51%
Manchester United U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchester United U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manchester United U23 come out ahead of Leeds U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester United U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U23 Manchester United U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2022 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Manchester United U23
3:0
Nov 6, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Leeds U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer McKinstry S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dean M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Manchester United U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U23 30 / 100
Manchester United U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U23 Manchester United U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leeds U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Manchester United U23 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leeds U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U23 VS Manchester United U23
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 6

Manchester United U23

(Away)
01 May
Liverpool U23
3 : 1
Manchester United U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0
Everton U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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