Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Anthony J.
34'
34'
Sub
Rodon J. In: Elvedi N.
Out: Rodon J.
41'
41'
Schade K.
Assist: Lewis-Potter K.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Leeds and Brentford finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brentford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Brentford haven't matched Leeds's recent run of results.
- Brentford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Leeds Clean Sheet 10%
Brentford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leeds | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
1:1
Jan 22, 2023 Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford
0:0
Sep 3, 2022 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leeds Compare
Top Goalscorer Calvert-Lewin D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Brentford Compare
Top Goalscorer Schade K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leeds 10 / 100
Brentford 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leeds Brentford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brentford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leeds found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Brentford conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Leeds has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leeds VS Brentford
2 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leeds
(Home) 20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1 Leeds
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1 Brentford
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1 Brentford
15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
08 Aug
Leeds
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 3
Brentford
(Away) 18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2 Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1 Sunderland
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1 Brentford
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2 Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1 Brentford
25 Aug
Birmingham
1 : 6 Brentford
08 Aug
Rennes
2 : 4 Brentford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
