Sport Picks

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Leeds vs Brentford

England England

Premier League Elland Road, Leeds
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leeds host Brentford in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Brentford have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Leeds have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Leeds slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Leeds to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Leeds
30%
Draws
34%
Brentford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leeds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Brentford haven't matched Leeds's recent run of results.
  • Leeds are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Leeds Clean Sheet 20%
Brentford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds Brentford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
1:1
Jan 22, 2023 Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford
0:0
Sep 3, 2022 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
5:2
May 22, 2022 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds 36 / 100
Brentford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds Brentford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Brentford conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Leeds has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leeds VS Brentford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds

(Home)
30 Jul
Sunderland
0 : 1
Leeds
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0
Leeds
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
11 May
Tottenham
1 : 1
Leeds
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Brentford

(Away)
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Brentford
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2
Crystal Palace
09 May
Manchester City
3 : 0
Brentford
02 May
Brentford
3 : 0
West Ham
27 Apr
Manchester United
2 : 1
Brentford
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Aston Villa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chelsea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Everton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Fulham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Liverpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Manchester City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Manchester United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Newcastle Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Sunderland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Tottenham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Coventry 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Crystal Palace 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hull City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Ipswich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Leeds 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Nottingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Brentford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)