Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
O'Nien L.
55'
55'
Sub
Mayenda E. In: Isidor W.
Out: Mayenda E.
56'
56'
Sub
Geertruida L. In: Xhaka G.
Out: Geertruida L.
AI Match Summary
Sunderland in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunderland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leeds lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland.
- Win probability leans Leeds's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Leeds Clean Sheet 68%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leeds | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 Premier League Summer Series
Sunderland vs Leeds
0:1
Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Sunderland
0:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Sunderland vs Leeds
1:1
Feb 17, 2025 Championship
Leeds vs Sunderland
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 Championship
Sunderland vs Leeds
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leeds 95 / 100
Sunderland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leeds Sunderland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leeds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leeds's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sunderland let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Leeds went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leeds VS Sunderland
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leeds
(Home) 15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
12 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 1 Leeds
08 Aug
Leeds
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
30 Jul
Sunderland
0 : 1 Leeds
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
08 Aug
Leeds
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
01 May
Leeds
3 : 1 Burnley
18 Apr
Leeds
3 : 0 Wolves
Page 1 of 3
Sunderland
(Away) 15 Aug
Sunderland
2 : 1 Rennes
08 Aug
Lens
0 : 2 Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
4 : 1 Sunderland
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
30 Jul
Sunderland
0 : 1 Leeds
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Lens
0 : 2 Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
4 : 1 Sunderland
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
18 Jul
York City
1 : 5 Sunderland
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
