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Leeds vs Wolves

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Elland Road, Leeds
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Justin J.
Assist: Okafor N.
20' Event
Okafor N.
Assist: Aaronson B.
38'
Sub
Gomes A. In: Mane M.
Out: Gomes A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Leeds and Wolves finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leeds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leeds
40%
Draws
29%
Wolves
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leeds come out ahead of Wolves on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leeds here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leeds Clean Sheet 20%
Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds Wolves
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Wolves
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Wolves vs Leeds
1:3
Mar 18, 2023 Premier League
Wolves vs Leeds
2:4
Nov 9, 2022 EFL Cup
Wolves vs Leeds
1:0
Aug 6, 2022 Premier League
Leeds vs Wolves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds Compare

Top Goalscorer Justin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okafor N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Wolves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds 32 / 100
Wolves 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Leeds's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wolves conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Leeds remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leeds VS Wolves
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds

(Home)
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0
Leeds
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
11 May
Tottenham
1 : 1
Leeds
01 May
Leeds
3 : 1
Burnley
26 Apr
Chelsea
1 : 0
Leeds
Page 1 of 6

Wolves

(Away)
25 Jul
Wolves
1 : 2
Real Sociedad
22 Jul
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Wolves
24 May
Burnley
1 : 1
Wolves
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1
Fulham
09 May
Brighton
3 : 0
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)