Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Goodwin J.
12'
12'
Griffiths J.
47'
47'
Goodwin J.
AI Match Summary
Warrington Town in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrington Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leek Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leek Town lately — more wins on the board than Warrington Town.
- Model gives Leek Town a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leek Town | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Warrington Town
1:2
Jan 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Leek Town
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Warrington Town
3:1
Sep 15, 2012 FA Trophy
Warrington Town vs Leek Town
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leek Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodwin J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leek Town 34 / 100
Warrington Town 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leek Town Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leek Town scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Warrington Town conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Leek Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leek Town VS Warrington Town
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Leek Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1 Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1 Leek Town
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2 Leek Town
05 Sept
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 5 Leek Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1 Hyde
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Leek Town
4 : 1 Bamber Bridge
18 Aug
Leek Town
1 : 2 AFC Emley
08 Aug
Leek Town
1 : 2 Whitby
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0 South Liverpool
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Workington | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Warrington Rylands | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Whitby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 14 | Hyde | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 15 | AFC Emley | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Lancaster | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 19 | Stockton | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 21 | Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
