Sport Picks
Leek Town vs Warrington Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
11'
11'
Goodwin J.
12'
12'
Griffiths J.
47'
47'
Goodwin J.
AI Match Summary
Warrington Town in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrington Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leek Town lately — more wins on the board than Warrington Town.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 12%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leek Town | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Warrington Town
1:2
Jan 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Leek Town
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Warrington Town
3:1
Sep 15, 2012 FA Trophy
Warrington Town vs Leek Town
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leek Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodwin J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leek Town 30 / 100
Warrington Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leek Town Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leek Town scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Warrington Town conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Leek Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leek Town VS Warrington Town
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Leek Town
(Home) 07 Nov
Leek Town
3 : 2 Ilkeston
03 Nov
Guiseley
4 : 1 Leek Town
31 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 1 Leek Town
27 Oct
Bury FC
5 : 3 Leek Town
24 Oct
Leek Town
4 : 1 Bootle
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Leek Town
3 : 2 Ilkeston
24 Oct
Leek Town
4 : 1 Bootle
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2 Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1 Hyde
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Town
(Away) 07 Nov
Avro
0 : 3 Warrington Town
03 Nov
Ashton United
0 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Oct
Quorn
3 : 2 Warrington Town
24 Oct
Warrington Town
1 : 2 Gainsborough
17 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 1 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Avro
0 : 3 Warrington Town
03 Nov
Ashton United
0 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Oct
Quorn
3 : 2 Warrington Town
17 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 1 Warrington Town
13 Oct
Bamber Bridge
0 : 1 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:19 | 38 |
| 2 | Curzon Ashton | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34:10 | 36 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Avro | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 42:34 | 32 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Workington | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31:24 | 29 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23:25 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21:29 | 23 |
| 13 | Quorn | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 33:35 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:31 | 21 |
| 15 | Whitby | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 24:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Hyde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:32 | 18 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 34:39 | 17 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13:38 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:42 | 11 |
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