Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leevon PPK vs FK Smiltene Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Saito S.
Assist: Aogaki S.
6' Event
Rams R.
26' Event
Hills M.
Assist: Stipnieks E.

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Leevon PPK
15%
Draws
27%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Smiltene haven't matched Leevon PPK's recent run of results.
  • Leevon PPK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 15%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leevon PPK FK Smiltene
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs FK Smiltene
4:2
Apr 18, 2026 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Leevon PPK
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs FK Smiltene
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Leevon PPK
0:4
Aug 11, 2024 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs FK Smiltene
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Aogaki S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saito S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Rams R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hills M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 84 / 100
FK Smiltene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leevon PPK FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

FK Smiltene let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Leevon PPK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS FK Smiltene
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leevon PPK

(Home)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

FK Smiltene

(Away)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
Promotion - Virsliga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Virsliga (Relegation)