Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass

Riga FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK play Riga FC in the Latvian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leevon PPK averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Riga FC averaged 3 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Leevon PPK won 0, Riga FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 18, 2024 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Leevon PPK and 2.06 for Riga FC. This points to a Riga FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Leevon PPK

21%

Draws

48%

Riga FC

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Leevon PPK picked up more points recently compared to Riga FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Riga FC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leevon PPK	Riga FC
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	22
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	2
Goals Scored	1.62	3
Goals Conceded	1.52	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 Latvian Cup

Leevon PPK vs Riga FC

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 4 - 0

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 30 / 100

Riga FC 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leevon PPK Riga FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Riga FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leevon PPK attacking → ← attacking Riga FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Riga FC let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Leevon PPK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Riga FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 71

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63