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Leevon PPK vs Valmiera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
Leevon PPK Logo

Leevon PPK

Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK host Valmiera in the 1. Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Leevon PPK at 2.17 goals for, 1.37 against; Valmiera at 2.55 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Leevon PPK have won 0 to Valmiera's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.94, favoring Valmiera. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Leevon PPK
35%
Draws
23%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leevon PPK lately — more wins on the board than Valmiera.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leevon PPK Valmiera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.17 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Leevon PPK
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 83 / 100
Valmiera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leevon PPK Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leevon PPK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Valmiera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS Valmiera
2.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leevon PPK

(Home)
18 Oct
Leevon PPK
2 : 2
Alberts JDFS
10 Oct
JFK Ventspils
0 : 4
Leevon PPK
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
18 Oct
Valmiera
2 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
10 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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