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Lefkimmi vs Agios Matthaios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lefkimmi host Agios Matthaios in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Lefkimmi at 1.48 goals for, 1.4 against; Agios Matthaios at 1 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Lefkimmi slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2022, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.96 xG vs 1.10) point toward Lefkimmi. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lefkimmi
20%
Draws
36%
Agios Matthaios
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Agios Matthaios haven't matched Lefkimmi's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lefkimmi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 20%
Agios Matthaios Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lefkimmi Agios Matthaios
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Agios Matthaios vs Lefkimmi
0:1
Dec 5, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Lefkimmi vs Agios Matthaios
2:0
Apr 25, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Agios Matthaios vs Lefkimmi
0:1
Feb 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Lefkimmi vs Agios Matthaios
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lefkimmi 32 / 100
Agios Matthaios 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lefkimmi Agios Matthaios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agios Matthaios Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agios Matthaios conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Lefkimmi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lefkimmi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lefkimmi VS Agios Matthaios
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lefkimmi

(Home)
04 Oct
Atromitos Patras
5 : 0
Lefkimmi
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
Page 1 of 8

Agios Matthaios

(Away)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
10 Apr
Asteras Kalirachis
1 : 1
Agios Matthaios
03 Apr
Agios Matthaios
2 : 2
Iraklis Ampelokipi
30 Mar
Agios Matthaios
2 : 3
Poseidonas Michanionas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atromitos Patras 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Preveza 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Panegialios FC 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Plataria 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Panachaiki 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
6 Aris Filiaton 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Tilikratis Lefkada 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Agios Matthaios 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Pallixouriakos 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Lefkimmi 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
11 Panagriniakos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
12 Levante 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Losers stage)