Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Nea Selefkia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lefkimmi play Nea Selefkia in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lefkimmi averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Nea Selefkia averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Lefkimmi won 3, Nea Selefkia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Lefkimmi and 1.19 for Nea Selefkia. This points to a Lefkimmi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Lefkimmi

20%

Draws

30%

Nea Selefkia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Lefkimmi picked up more points recently compared to Nea Selefkia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 20%

Nea Selefkia Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lefkimmi	Nea Selefkia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	7
Draws	4	13
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Lefkimmi vs Nea Selefkia

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Dec 17, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Lefkimmi vs Nea Selefkia

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Nea Selefkia vs Lefkimmi

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lefkimmi 49 / 100

Nea Selefkia 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lefkimmi Nea Selefkia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lefkimmi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lefkimmi attacking → ← attacking Nea Selefkia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lefkimmi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Nea Selefkia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Lefkimmi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nea Selefkia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 34

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63