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Leganes B vs Aravaca CF

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 game between Leganes B and Aravaca CF finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leganes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Leganes B
20%
Draws
44%
Aravaca CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aravaca CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leganes B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 19%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes B Aravaca CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Aravaca CF
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Leganes B
1:0
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Aravaca CF
5:0
Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Leganes B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes B 32 / 100
Aravaca CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes B Aravaca CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Leganes B's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leganes B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leganes B VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes B

(Home)
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1
Leganes B
12 Aug
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 3
Leganes B
08 Aug
Illescas
1 : 2
Leganes B
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Leganes B
17 May
Leganes B
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
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Aravaca CF

(Away)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)