Sport Picks
Leganes B vs Carabanchel Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Gutierrez H.
81'
81'
Munoz C.
AI Match Summary
Carabanchel in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carabanchel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carabanchel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leganes B lately — more wins on the board than Carabanchel.
- Win probability leans Leganes B's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 68%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leganes B | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Carabanchel
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Leganes B
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Leganes B
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Carabanchel
0:0
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Carabanchel
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leganes B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Carabanchel Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leganes B 50 / 100
Carabanchel 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leganes B Carabanchel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leganes B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leganes B found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Carabanchel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Leganes B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leganes B VS Carabanchel
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Leganes B
(Home) 26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0 Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2 Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1 Leganes B
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
17 May
Leganes B
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 3
Carabanchel
(Away) 10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
28 Mar
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Carabanchel
15 Mar
Tres Cantos
1 : 0 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
