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Leganes B vs Rayo Vallecano B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Munoz C.
31' Event
Revuelto V.
44' Event
Siame G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Leganes B and Rayo Vallecano B finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leganes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Leganes B
15%
Draws
26%
Rayo Vallecano B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leganes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Leganes B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Leganes B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leganes B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes B Rayo Vallecano B
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.65 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Rayo Vallecano B
4:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Leganes B
0:3
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:3
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Leganes B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siame G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Revuelto V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes B 85 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes B Rayo Vallecano B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leganes B's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rayo Vallecano B conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Leganes B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leganes B VS Rayo Vallecano B
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes B

(Home)
18 Oct
RC Alcobendas
1 : 2
Leganes B
11 Oct
Leganes B
2 : 3
Galapagar
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
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Rayo Vallecano B

(Away)
11 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Las Rozas 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 CD Mostoles 7 4 2 1 10:4 14
3 Colonia Moscardo 7 3 4 0 16:7 13
4 Cala Pozuelo 7 4 1 2 12:10 13
5 Union Adarve 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
6 Trival Valderas 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
7 Pozuelo de Alarcon 7 3 3 1 12:13 12
8 Galapagar 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
9 AD Torrejon 7 3 1 3 11:6 10
10 Leganes B 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
11 CF Fuenlabrada 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
12 RC Alcobendas 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
13 Mexico 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
14 Real Aranjuez 7 1 3 3 12:16 6
15 CP Parla Escuela 7 1 3 3 9:14 6
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 7 2 0 5 13:20 6
17 Rayo Vallecano B 7 1 1 5 10:17 4
18 Siello 7 1 1 5 6:18 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)