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Leganes vs AD Merida

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
27'
27' Event
El Haddadi S.

AI Match Summary

Leganes in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leganes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Leganes
15%
Draws
28%
AD Merida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leganes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AD Merida at 1.07 per game, Leganes at 1.
  • Win probability leans Leganes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Leganes Clean Sheet 68%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes AD Merida
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
AD Merida vs Leganes
6:0
Nov 23, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Leganes vs AD Merida
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer El Haddadi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Buurmeester Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AD Merida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 95 / 100
AD Merida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes AD Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Merida has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Leganes scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

AD Merida's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS AD Merida
0.63 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
08 Aug
Leganes
0 : 1
Tenerife
07 Aug
Leganes
3 : 0
AD Merida
04 Aug
Leganes
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
01 Aug
Swansea
1 : 0
Leganes
28 Jul
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Leganes
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AD Merida

(Away)
07 Aug
Leganes
3 : 0
AD Merida
01 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 3
Betis B
28 Jul
AD Merida
0 : 2
Al Nassr
25 Jul
Benfica B
4 : 0
AD Merida
23 May
Osasuna B
1 : 2
AD Merida
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