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Leganes vs Alcorcon

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kopotun V.
26' Event
Garcia N.
46'
Sub
Kopotun V. In: Carmona M.
Out: Kopotun V.

AI Match Summary

Leganes in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leganes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Leganes
35%
Draws
18%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leganes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcorcon average 1.28 goals a game right now, well clear of Leganes's 0.9.
  • Leganes are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Leganes Clean Sheet 20%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Alcorcon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Leganes vs Alcorcon
3:1
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Leganes vs Alcorcon
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Alcorcon
3:0
Jan 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Alcorcon vs Leganes
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs Leganes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saenz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopotun V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 40 / 100
Alcorcon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Leganes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leganes found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Alcorcon
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Leganes
16 Aug
Girona
1 : 1
Leganes
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Alcorcon

(Away)
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0
Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1
Alcorcon
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