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Stadium Background

Leganes vs Castellon Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Morata A.
24' Event
Suero I.
28'
Cordoba I.

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Leganes
20%
Draws
45%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellon have won more games recently than Leganes.
  • Model gives Castellon a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Castellon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leganes Clean Sheet 20%
Castellon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Castellon
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Castellon
0:2
Jan 16, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Leganes
2:0
Sep 29, 2025 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Castellon
0:1
Mar 6, 2021 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Castellon
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Leganes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Suero I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakobsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 12 / 100
Castellon 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Leganes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Leganes found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Castellon
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
20 Sept
Leganes
3 : 2
Granada CF
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Leganes
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Castellon

(Away)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 7 6 0 1 15:6 18
2 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 11:4 15
4 Burgos CF 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Real Oviedo 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
9 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
10 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Gijon 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
17 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
18 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 10:16 6
19 Eldense 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
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