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Leganes vs Eldense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
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Match Events

63'
Sub
Pena R. In: Rodriguez D.
Out: Pena R.
63'
Sub
Garcia N. In: Alex Sancris
Out: Garcia N.
63'
Sub
Soko P. In: Millan A.
Out: Soko P.

AI Match Summary

Leganes in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leganes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Leganes
15%
Draws
76%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eldense lately — more wins on the board than Leganes.
  • Model gives Leganes a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Leganes have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leganes Clean Sheet 10%
Eldense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Eldense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Eldense
1:0
May 5, 2024 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Leganes
1:2
Dec 10, 2023 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Eldense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Atienza M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Eldense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 34 / 100
Eldense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eldense let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Leganes scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Leganes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Eldense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
02 Nov
Valladolid
4 : 3
Leganes
24 Oct
Leganes
1 : 1
Mallorca
16 Oct
Leganes
0 : 1
Cordoba
11 Oct
Almeria
3 : 0
Leganes
03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0
Leganes
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Eldense

(Away)
01 Nov
Eldense
0 : 2
Granada CF
29 Oct
Baleares
0 : 1
Eldense
25 Oct
Albacete
2 : 0
Eldense
18 Oct
Valladolid
2 : 3
Eldense
10 Oct
Eldense
2 : 1
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 12 8 3 1 23:5 27
2 Almeria 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
3 Eibar 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Granada CF 12 7 2 3 20:14 23
5 Mallorca 12 6 4 2 15:7 22
6 Gijon 12 7 1 4 13:13 22
7 Girona 12 6 3 3 22:11 21
8 Burgos CF 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
9 Real Oviedo 12 5 3 4 17:15 18
10 Sabadell 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
11 Las Palmas 12 5 2 5 17:21 17
12 Cordoba 12 5 1 6 19:22 16
13 Valladolid 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
14 Tenerife 12 3 6 3 15:17 15
15 Eldense 12 4 2 6 13:17 14
16 Celta Vigo B 12 3 4 5 18:23 13
17 Leganes 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
18 FC Andorra 12 3 2 7 17:22 11
19 Real Sociedad B 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
20 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 15:16 10
21 Albacete 12 2 1 9 10:23 7
22 AD Ceuta 12 1 2 9 10:27 5
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)