Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leganes vs Racing Santander

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Diawara A.
26' Event
Gueye M.
Assist: Guliashvili G.
36'
Puerta G.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Leganes and Racing Santander finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Santander.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Leganes
15%
Draws
32%
Racing Santander
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leganes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Santander come out ahead of Leganes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Leganes a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Leganes Clean Sheet 18%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Racing Santander
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Racing Santander
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Leganes
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Leganes
2:1
Sep 29, 2023 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Racing Santander
2:1
Feb 13, 2023 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Leganes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Asue L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 85 / 100
Racing Santander 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Racing Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Racing Santander conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Leganes scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Leganes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Racing Santander
1 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
20 Sept
Leganes
3 : 2
Granada CF
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Racing Santander

(Away)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)