Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leganes vs Racing Santander

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Diawara A.
26' Event
Gueye M.
Assist: Guliashvili G.
36'
Puerta G.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Leganes and Racing Santander finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Santander.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Leganes
28%
Draws
50%
Racing Santander
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Racing Santander

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Santander come out ahead of Leganes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Racing Santander a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Leganes Clean Sheet 10%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Racing Santander
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Racing Santander
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Leganes
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Leganes
2:1
Sep 29, 2023 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Racing Santander
2:1
Feb 13, 2023 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Leganes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Asue L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 22 / 100
Racing Santander 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Racing Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Racing Santander conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Leganes scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Leganes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Racing Santander
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
22 Jul
Nacional
0 : 0
Leganes
17 Jul
Leganes
0 : 0
Albacete
11 Jul
Levante
2 : 1
Leganes
31 May
Leganes
1 : 0
Mirandes
24 May
Cadiz
3 : 0
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Racing Santander

(Away)
18 Jul
Real Sociedad
1 : 1
Racing Santander
31 May
Racing Santander
4 : 1
Cadiz
24 May
Malaga
1 : 1
Racing Santander
16 May
Racing Santander
4 : 1
Valladolid
10 May
Leganes
1 : 2
Racing Santander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Santander422571090:6182
2Dep. A Coruna422211965:4477
3Almeria422281281:6374
4Malaga4221101175:5273
5Las Palmas422013957:4073
6Castellon4220121070:5172
7Burgos CF4220121048:3372
8Eibar4219101352:4067
9Cordoba4217101557:6161
10Gijon421871760:5461
11AD Ceuta4217101551:6361
12Albacete4216111556:5559
13FC Andorra4216101662:5458
14Granada CF4212121850:5648
15Real Sociedad B4212111952:6147
16Leganes4211131843:5146
17Valladolid4212102044:5746
18Cadiz4211102141:6143
19Mirandes4210102247:6940
20Huesca429112241:6338
21Leonesa429102339:6837
22Zaragoza428122235:5936
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