Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leganes vs Zaragoza

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Plano O.
35' Event
Moyano S.
Assist: Cuenca M. A.
36'
Guirao C.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Leganes and Zaragoza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Leganes
20%
Draws
42%
Zaragoza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaragoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Zaragoza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Leganes Clean Sheet 68%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Zaragoza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Zaragoza
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Leganes
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Zaragoza
1:1
Dec 2, 2023 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Leganes
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Leganes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Plano O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Zaragoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Moyano S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 41 / 100
Zaragoza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Zaragoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaragoza let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Leganes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leganes's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Zaragoza
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Leganes
16 Aug
Girona
1 : 1
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Zaragoza

(Away)
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
Antequera
30 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 0
Zaragoza
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)