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Stadium Background

Legia II vs Sokol Ostroda

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 game between Legia II and Sokol Ostroda finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Legia II
15%
Draws
42%
Sokol Ostroda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sokol Ostroda haven't matched Legia II's recent run of results.
  • Legia II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Legia II Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia II Sokol Ostroda
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.71 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Sokol Ostroda
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Legia II
0:2
Jun 13, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Sokol Ostroda
0:0
Apr 1, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Legia II
0:0
Apr 14, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Sokol Ostroda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia II 49 / 100
Sokol Ostroda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia II Sokol Ostroda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sokol Ostroda conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Legia II scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Sokol Ostroda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Legia II VS Sokol Ostroda
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia II

(Home)
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Leczna
4 : 1
Legia II
06 Sept
Legia II
1 : 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
29 Aug
Zawisza
4 : 1
Legia II
23 Aug
Legia II
6 : 1
Kleczew
Page 1 of 8

Sokol Ostroda

(Away)
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0
Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2
Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1
Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LKS Lodz II 34 20 8 6 76:41 68
2 Legionowo 34 18 10 6 71:43 64
3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 18 10 6 62:39 64
4 Swit Mazowiecki 34 18 7 9 66:45 61
5 Legia II 34 15 10 9 66:48 55
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
7 Unia Skierniewice 34 15 8 11 41:38 53
8 MKS Mlawa 34 15 7 12 83:71 52
9 Jagiellonia II 34 13 10 11 65:54 49
10 Pilica Bialobrzegi 34 12 9 13 53:55 45
11 Pelikan 34 12 9 13 56:52 45
12 Sokol Ostroda 34 10 6 18 49:71 36
13 Olimpia Zambrow 34 9 9 16 40:63 36
14 Bron Radom 34 9 8 17 60:76 35
15 Warta Sieradz 34 8 10 16 39:53 34
16 Concordia Elblag 34 8 9 17 38:61 33
17 Blonianka Blonie 34 8 6 20 35:68 30
18 Ursus Warszawa 34 5 10 19 42:72 25
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)