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Legia U19 vs Ajax U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Kasanwirjo K.
43' Event
Pchelka C.
Assist: Mozie P.
53' Event
Ruszkiewicz M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Legia U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Legia U19
20%
Draws
35%
Ajax U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Legia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Legia U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Legia U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ajax U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Legia U19 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Legia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia U19 Ajax U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.79 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 UEFA Youth League
Legia U19 vs Ajax U19
2:1
Nov 21, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Ajax U19 vs Legia U19
0:2
Oct 31, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Legia U19 vs Ajax U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pchelka C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruszkiewicz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ajax U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Teuwsen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia U19 47 / 100
Ajax U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia U19 Ajax U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia U19 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Ajax U19 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Legia U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Legia U19 VS Ajax U19
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia U19

(Home)
26 Sept
Legia U19
3 : 2
Arkonia Szczecin U19
20 Sept
S. Rzeszow U19
0 : 3
Legia U19
12 Sept
Legia U19
3 : 3
Gornik Zabrze U19
05 Sept
AP Talent Warszawa U19
0 : 1
Legia U19
28 Aug
Legia U19
3 : 1
Lech Poznan U19
Page 1 of 6

Ajax U19

(Away)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Koln U19 1
Inter U19 3
Betis U19 5
Tottenham U19 1
Benfica U19 3
Slavia Prague U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Dortmund U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 6
Maccabi Haifa U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Zilina U19 2
Liverpool U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Monaco U19 2
Real Madrid U19 5
Marseille U19 2
Chelsea U19 2
PSV U19 1
Ath Bilbao U19 2
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 3
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Sporting CP U19 2
Villarreal U19 3
Leverkusen U19 2
Legia U19 2
Ajax U19 1
Din. Minsk U19 0
PSG U19 4
HJK U19 4
Manchester City U19 3
1/8-finals
Inter U19 5
Betis U19 3
Benfica U19 6
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Zilina U19 0
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 1
Chelsea U19 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 0
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 2
Legia U19 1
PSG U19 6
HJK U19 1
Quarter-finals
Inter U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Atl. Madrid U19 0
Club Brugge U19 4
Real Madrid U19 2
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 0
PSG U19 1
Semi-finals
Benfica U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Real Madrid U19 2
PSG U19 1
Final
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2