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Legia vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
43' Event
Zjawinski L.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Zjawinski L.

AI Match Summary

Legia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Legia
11%
Draws
9%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki haven't matched Legia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Legia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Legia Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 3
Draws 10 12
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zjawinski L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zewlakow J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 76 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Legia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
18 Jul
Legia
0 : 2
Aris Limassol
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
14 Jul
Legia
3 : 1
Radomiak Radom
10 Jul
Legia
1 : 0
Trencin
07 Jul
Legia
3 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Away)
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Trencin
04 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
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