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Legia vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
43' Event
Zjawinski L.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Zjawinski L.

AI Match Summary

Legia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Legia
15%
Draws
35%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki haven't matched Legia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Legia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Legia Clean Sheet 13%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2:1
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zjawinski L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zewlakow J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 84 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Legia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1
Korona Kielce
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Away)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
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