Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legiao vs Luziania

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Legiao Logo

Legiao

1 - 0
FT
Luziania Logo

Luziania

Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Lucas Emanuel
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Legiao in this Brasiliense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Legiao
30%
Draws
58%
Luziania
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Legiao haven't matched Luziania's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Luziania a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Legiao Clean Sheet 14%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Luziania
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.47 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Legiao vs Luziania
1:0
Feb 9, 2014 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Luziania
0:2
Apr 6, 2013 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Luziania
2:1
Apr 14, 2012 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Legiao
0:2
Mar 1, 2009 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Luziania
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legiao Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Emanuel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.23

Luziania Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 10 / 100
Luziania 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Luziania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legiao scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Luziania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Legiao has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS Luziania
0.38 Goals Scored 1.14
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
13 Feb
Legiao
1 : 2
Ceilandia
09 Feb
Capital
1 : 0
Legiao
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Luziania

(Away)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)