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Legiao vs Real Brasilia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Brasiliense 2012
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AI Match Summary

Legiao in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Legiao
30%
Draws
35%
Real Brasilia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Legiao at 1.21 per game, Real Brasilia at 0.9.
  • Legiao are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Legiao Clean Sheet 20%
Real Brasilia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Real Brasilia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Legiao
2:1
Apr 4, 2012 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Real Brasilia
3:0
Mar 22, 2009 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Legiao
2:3
Feb 15, 2009 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Real Brasilia
1:2
Apr 8, 2008 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Legiao
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 49 / 100
Real Brasilia 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Real Brasilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Brasilia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Legiao found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Legiao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS Real Brasilia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
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Real Brasilia

(Away)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
11 Feb
Real Brasilia
0 : 3
Sobradinho
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Ceilandia
2 : 0
Real Brasilia
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobradinho 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Legiao 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
3 Brasiliense 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Luziania 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
5 Real Brasilia 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
6 Botafogo DF 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Capital 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
3 Ceilandense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
4 Gama 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 Brazlandia 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
6 Bosque Formosa 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)