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Legion U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legion U21 play Laanemaa Haapsalu in the Esiliiga B 2021. Legion U21 are favorites here. Recently, Legion U21 averaged 2.22 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Laanemaa Haapsalu averaged 1.08 goals scored and 3.69 conceded. In past meetings, Legion U21 won 2, Laanemaa Haapsalu won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.54 for Legion U21 and 0.86 for Laanemaa Haapsalu. This points to a Legion U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Legion U21
15%
Draws
21%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Legion U21 picked up more points recently compared to Laanemaa Haapsalu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Legion U21 Clean Sheet 25%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion U21 Laanemaa Haapsalu
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 16 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 15 28
Goals Scored 2.22 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.09 3.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion U21
0:1
Jul 17, 2022 Esiliiga B
Legion U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
5:1
May 8, 2022 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion U21
3:0
Mar 6, 2022 Esiliiga B
Legion U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
1:2
Nov 7, 2021 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion U21
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion U21 63 / 100
Laanemaa Haapsalu 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion U21 Laanemaa Haapsalu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legion U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Legion U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Legion U21 attacking → ← attacking Laanemaa Haapsalu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion U21 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Laanemaa Haapsalu let in goals in 94% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Legion U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Laanemaa Haapsalu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 20
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Viimsi JK27177371:2458
2Harju JK Laagri27163869:4351
3FC Tallinn271421159:4944
4FC Alliance271321253:6441
5Tabasalu271241158:5140
6Tallinna Kalev U21271231263:5839
7Legion U21271201563:7436
8Kalju U2127921652:6229
9Vandra Vaprus27831639:6727
10Laanemaa Haapsalu27821756:9126