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Stadium Background

Legion vs Kuressaare U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Sun, Oct 12, 2025
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Havier M.
13' Event
Vinter R.
34'
Viil R.

AI Match Summary

Legion host Kuressaare U21 in the Esiliiga B 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Legion at 1.06 goals for, 3.35 against; Kuressaare U21 at 0.97 for, 2.93 against. Past meetings favor Legion slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.04 - 3.13) back Legion to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Legion
15%
Draws
0%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Legion have won more games recently than Kuressaare U21.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Legion taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Legion here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 25
Goals Scored 1.06 0.97
Goals Conceded 3.35 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Kuressaare U21
0:3
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Legion
1:6
May 11, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Kuressaare U21
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Legion
3:4
Oct 5, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Legion
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasilenko D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jakovenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinter R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Opp M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 38 / 100
Kuressaare U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kuressaare U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Legion's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
5.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
24 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Legion
21 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 3
Legion
15 Aug
Legion
0 : 3
Tammeka Tartu U21
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Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)