Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kulikov N.
29' Event
Kutsar K.
54' Event
Smirnov S.

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Legion
15%
Draws
76%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have won more games recently than Legion.
  • Win probability leans Parnu JK Vaprus U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.86 3.17
Goals Conceded 3.72 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion
12:0
Aug 30, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:5
Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulikov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kutsar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 6.25 goals.

Legion found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Legion went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 29 19 3 7 69:35 60
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
7 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 29 3 3 23 25:111 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)