Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mohnja I.
48' Event
Samborskyi D.
71' Event
Kolvart S.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Legion and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Legion
15%
Draws
21%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Legion haven't matched Parnu JK Vaprus U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Legion a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 4 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.11 2.62
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Samborskyi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohnja I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolvart S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 65 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Legion found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Difficult form: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
01 Aug
Legion
0 : 1
Johvi Phoenix
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1
Legion
18 Jul
Legion
2 : 0
Tabasalu
12 Jul
Tartu Kalev
10 : 2
Legion
Page 1 of 6

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
15 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
10 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
03 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Levadia U19
19 Jul
Narva U21
4 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 22 14 2 6 57:30 44
2 Tammeka Tartu U21 22 13 4 5 61:43 43
3 Levadia U19 22 12 2 8 54:41 38
4 Johvi Phoenix 23 12 2 9 51:51 38
5 Tartu Kalev 23 12 1 10 62:45 37
6 Tulevik 22 11 3 8 57:43 36
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 23 10 3 10 61:52 33
8 Tabasalu 22 9 0 13 34:58 27
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 22 5 2 15 45:57 17
10 Legion 21 3 1 17 19:81 10
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)