Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legion vs Tabasalu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Samborskyi D.
45' Event
Riigov R.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Dobosev-Proosvali A.

AI Match Summary

Legion in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Legion
15%
Draws
21%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tabasalu lately — more wins on the board than Legion.
  • Win probability leans Legion's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Legion here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Tabasalu
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 1 1
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.15 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.78 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
2:0
May 27, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
2:3
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
0:3
Jul 11, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Borissov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Samborskyi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobosev-Proosvali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 47 / 100
Tabasalu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Tabasalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Legion scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Away concern: Tabasalu has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Tabasalu
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
01 Aug
Legion
0 : 1
Johvi Phoenix
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1
Legion
18 Jul
Legion
2 : 0
Tabasalu
12 Jul
Tartu Kalev
10 : 2
Legion
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Tabasalu

(Away)
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
09 Aug
Levadia U19
3 : 0
Tabasalu
01 Aug
Tartu Kalev
3 : 1
Tabasalu
22 Jul
Tabasalu
0 : 2
Tamper
18 Jul
Legion
2 : 0
Tabasalu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 22 14 2 6 57:30 44
2 Tammeka Tartu U21 22 13 4 5 61:43 43
3 Levadia U19 23 13 2 8 58:42 41
4 Johvi Phoenix 23 12 2 9 51:51 38
5 Tartu Kalev 23 12 1 10 62:45 37
6 Tulevik 23 11 3 9 58:47 36
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 23 10 3 10 61:52 33
8 Tabasalu 23 9 1 13 35:59 28
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 23 5 3 15 46:58 18
10 Legion 21 3 1 17 19:81 10
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)