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Legionowo vs Wilga Garwolin

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legionowo play Wilga Garwolin in the Club Friendly 2025. Wilga Garwolin are favorites here. Recently, Legionowo averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Wilga Garwolin averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Legionowo won 1, Wilga Garwolin won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Legionowo and 2.25 for Wilga Garwolin. This points to a Wilga Garwolin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Legionowo
25%
Draws
60%
Wilga Garwolin
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Wilga Garwolin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Legionowo picked up more points recently compared to Wilga Garwolin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Legionowo Clean Sheet 10%
Wilga Garwolin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legionowo Wilga Garwolin
Matches Played 31 2
Wins 5 1
Draws 10 0
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 1.23 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Legionowo vs Wilga Garwolin
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legionowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymczak M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Wilga Garwolin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kowalczyk P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shokurov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legionowo 16 / 100
Wilga Garwolin 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legionowo Wilga Garwolin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wilga Garwolin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Wilga Garwolin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Legionowo attacking → ← attacking Wilga Garwolin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legionowo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Wilga Garwolin let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Legionowo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wilga Garwolin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 3
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50