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Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Mario Sandrini, Legnago
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Filiciotto A.
61' Event
Own Goal
64' Event
Chiesurin A.

AI Match Summary

Calvi Noale in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Legnago Salus
30%
Draws
47%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Legnago Salus average 1.69 goals a game right now, well clear of Calvi Noale's 1.14.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Legnago Salus taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 20%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnago Salus Calvi Noale
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale
1:4
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Legnago Salus
1:2
Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Legnago Salus
1:2
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnago Salus Compare

Top Goalscorer Filiciotto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Miccoli T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chiesurin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnago Salus 36 / 100
Calvi Noale 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnago Salus Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnago Salus's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Calvi Noale conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Legnago Salus has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Legnago Salus VS Calvi Noale
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnago Salus

(Home)
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Calcio San Dona
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1
Legnago Salus
06 Aug
Legnago Salus
1 : 3
Mantova
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Calvi Noale

(Away)
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)