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Legnago Salus vs Conegliano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Mario Sandrini, Legnago
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Menghi M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Legnago Salus and Conegliano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legnago Salus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Legnago Salus
20%
Draws
40%
Conegliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legnago Salus come out ahead of Conegliano on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Legnago Salus taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 68%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnago Salus Conegliano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Conegliano
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Legnago Salus
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnago Salus Compare

Top Goalscorer Menghi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Conegliano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnago Salus 50 / 100
Conegliano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnago Salus Conegliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnago Salus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legnago Salus scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Conegliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Legnago Salus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnago Salus VS Conegliano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnago Salus

(Home)
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Calcio San Dona
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1
Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 7

Conegliano

(Away)
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0
Conegliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)