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Legnano vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Rossi D.
Own Goal
90' Event
Stringara A.

AI Match Summary

Crema in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Legnano
30%
Draws
23%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Legnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legnano lately — more wins on the board than Crema.
  • Legnano are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Legnano Clean Sheet 20%
Crema Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnano Crema
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Crema
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Legnano
3:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Crema
3:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Legnano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Stringara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnano 42 / 100
Crema 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnano Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnano found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Legnano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Crema's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crema
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnano

(Home)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
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Crema

(Away)
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)